Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.001622 0.001723 0.001828 0.001945 0.002071 0.002204 0.002354
2025-02-23 0.001471 0.001614 0.001768 0.001946 0.002146 0.002367 0.002628
2025-03-02 0.001333 0.001497 0.001678 0.001894 0.002147 0.002434 0.002786
2025-03-09 0.001234 0.001412 0.001613 0.001860 0.002155 0.002501 0.002938
2025-03-16 0.001170 0.001360 0.001580 0.001856 0.002195 0.002601 0.003129
2025-03-23 0.001106 0.001305 0.001538 0.001836 0.002209 0.002666 0.003278
2025-03-30 0.001057 0.001262 0.001508 0.001826 0.002234 0.002744 0.003442
2025-04-06 0.001006 0.001214 0.001467 0.001801 0.002235 0.002789 0.003563
2025-04-13 0.000957 0.001167 0.001425 0.001770 0.002226 0.002818 0.003662
2025-04-20 0.000899 0.001105 0.001361 0.001707 0.002172 0.002783 0.003670
2025-04-27 0.000879 0.001091 0.001358 0.001725 0.002223 0.002891 0.003880
2025-05-04 0.000869 0.001090 0.001370 0.001761 0.002301 0.003038 0.004152
2025-05-11 0.000868 0.001101 0.001402 0.001829 0.002432 0.003274 0.004582
2025-05-18 0.000838 0.001074 0.001383 0.001827 0.002464 0.003371 0.004813
2025-05-25 0.000794 0.001026 0.001333 0.001779 0.002428 0.003367 0.004888
2025-06-01 0.000759 0.000989 0.001295 0.001746 0.002412 0.003391 0.005007
2025-06-08 0.000737 0.000967 0.001279 0.001743 0.002439 0.003479 0.005232
2025-06-15 0.000710 0.000940 0.001253 0.001724 0.002440 0.003527 0.005395
2025-06-22 0.000689 0.000918 0.001234 0.001716 0.002456 0.003600 0.005602
2025-06-29 0.000665 0.000891 0.001207 0.001692 0.002448 0.003631 0.005740
2025-07-06 0.000640 0.000864 0.001177 0.001664 0.002430 0.003646 0.005849
2025-07-13 0.000608 0.000824 0.001129 0.001606 0.002363 0.003576 0.005803
2025-07-20 0.000599 0.000818 0.001129 0.001621 0.002414 0.003705 0.006123